What moves the break-even
Higher mortgage rates and higher price-to-rent ratios push break-even out; faster appreciation and rent growth pull it in. A one-point drop in rate typically shortens break-even by a year or more.
Every assumption, in the open
Defaults are national-median starting points, not predictions. Change any of them — the result updates instantly and nothing else is hidden in the math.
- • Home price $420,000 — near the 2025 US median existing-home sale price (NAR).
- • Mortgage rate 6.5% on a 30-year fixed — in line with Freddie Mac PMMS averages in 2025–2026.
- • Home appreciation 3.5%/yr and rent growth 3.5%/yr — close to long-run FHFA HPI and CPI shelter averages.
- • Property tax 1.1% of value and maintenance 1% of value per year — common planning rules of thumb; check your county rate.
- • Insurance $1,900/yr — roughly the national average homeowners premium; coastal states run far higher.
- • Closing costs 3% to buy, 6% to sell (agent commission + transfer costs).
- • Investment return 6%/yr on the money the renter doesn't spend on the house — a conservative diversified-portfolio figure.
- • Excluded: mortgage interest deduction, capital-gains taxes, PMI. Most households take the standard deduction, and the $250k/$500k home-sale exclusion covers most sellers.
Related guides
Long-form playbooks on the same topic, written by the RevenueLab editorial team.
FAQ
What's a typical rent vs buy break-even?
With our US-median defaults (6.5% rate, $420,000 home, $2,200 rent) break-even is about 11 years; low price-to-rent markets break even much sooner, and high price-to-rent coastal metros can exceed 15.
Does a bigger down payment shorten break-even?
Not always. It lowers interest, but the renter invests that same cash at the investment return, so the effect depends on rate vs return.
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