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How do you calculate potential Airbnb income before buying a property?

Short answer

Multiply comparable ADR by occupancy to get monthly room revenue, then subtract platform fees (~6%), turnover costs, and fixed expenses. A property with a $185 ADR at 62% occupancy grosses about $3,440/month and nets roughly $1,400–1,900 after full costs.

Worked example: $185 ADR, 62% occupancy, 3-night average stay

Line itemMonthly amountHow it's computed
Room revenue$3,443$185 × 18.6 booked nights
Cleaning fees collected+$5896.2 stays × $95 fee
Platform + channel fees−$2426% of gross
Turnover labor−$4656.2 stays × $75 cost
Fixed expenses−$1,650Mortgage/rent, utilities, supplies, software
Net operating income$1,675≈ $20,100/year before tax

How to read this table

Context

The two inputs that decide everything — ADR and occupancy — must come from comparable listings, not the seller's pro forma. Pull 8–12 true comps (same bedroom count, similar quality tier, within a half-mile) from AirDNA or Rabbu and use their median, not the top performer. Then stress-test: rerun the numbers at 15% lower occupancy and a forced mid-term-rental scenario, because regulation changes are the most common way STR deals go bad.

What moves this number

Financing terms

Rate, down payment and amortisation drive cash-on-cash return more than purchase price does. The same building can cash-flow or bleed depending on the loan.

True operating expense ratio

Management, insurance, tax, maintenance, vacancy and capital reserve typically consume 35–50% of gross rent. Models that skip reserves overstate returns badly.

Vacancy and turnover

One 45-day vacancy plus a turn can erase a year of thin cash flow. Underwrite 5–8% vacancy even in tight markets.

Local regulation

Rent rules, short-term rental caps and licensing requirements change the achievable revenue of an identical property between neighbouring cities.

Methodology

Figures use RevenueLab's short-term-rental cashflow model: net = (ADR × booked nights + cleaning fees) × (1 − platform fees) − turnover labor − fixed costs. Default fee, cost, and expense values reflect 2026 US medians reported by hosts; every input is editable in the linked calculator.

Assumptions and caveats

Frequently asked questions

How do you calculate potential Airbnb income before buying a property?

Multiply comparable ADR by occupancy to get monthly room revenue, then subtract platform fees (~6%), turnover costs, and fixed expenses. A property with a $185 ADR at 62% occupancy grosses about $3,440/month and nets roughly $1,400–1,900 after full costs.

Which option pays the most in the worked example: $185 adr, 62% occupancy, 3-night average stay table?

Room revenue, at $3,443 ($185 × 18.6 booked nights). That row represents the strongest case in this dataset, so use it as an upper bound rather than an expectation.

What is a realistic low-end figure?

Platform + channel fees at −$242 (6% of gross). Plan your costs so the low end still works, then treat anything above it as upside.

Why do the numbers vary so much?

The spread between the highest and lowest row is about 14×. Financing terms and true operating expense ratio explain most of that gap — see the drivers section above for the full list.

Where do these numbers come from?

Figures use RevenueLab's short-term-rental cashflow model: net = (ADR × booked nights + cleaning fees) × (1 − platform fees) − turnover labor − fixed costs. Default fee, cost, and expense values reflect 2026 US medians reported by hosts; every input is editable in the linked calculator.

How can I estimate my own number instead of using a benchmark?

Use the Airbnb Revenue Calculator on RevenueLab — it takes your own inputs and returns a figure specific to your setup, which is always more accurate than a published range.

Model your own numbers

Related reading

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Last updated 2026-08-29.